This is what I understand. The membership churn is killing the membership numbers. We did recruit 260k "new" scouts in 2025; however, based on the numbers shared with me we lost somewhere between 300k and 500k existing scouts.
If we don't deliver on our promises of an excellent outdoor leadership program scouts and their families will keep voting themselves off the island and leave scouting. National needs to enforce quality control and modernization; how can expect a unit to properly execute the program when 4 out of 5 adult leaders are so incompetent they can't do free online training? Paid scouters are scrambling to save their jobs, they don't care to save the program; national must force council consolidations to get the focus back on program and off of fundraising.
During Covid, membership at one point was at about 655,000, so he's probably right that overall scouting eventually clawed back about 260,000 post Covid. Scouting hasn't, however, added 260,000 in the past year.
Another facet of this that may arise under the new registration system...
We have several units who cannot be renewed because the leaders have not renewed. Yet, those units have Scouts who renewed online for 2026.
I hope the number will be small, but for a time, we are going to have Scouts with current registrations whose units have shuttered.
They'll need to find new homes.