Re: declining membership

regarding Peter Farnham's thoughts,

Why did I pick almost 5.5 million rather than "around 4 million"

I'm not really sure where you got 4 million, as I've been following the stats
fairly closely over the last couple of years.

Several possibilities come to mind.
1. that "around 4 million" counts only the youth served by the program rather
than youth+adults. That brings it around 4 million youth served during the fall
94 and spring 95.

2. I picked the time period when membership is typically at the yearly high
water mark, as I understand it to be. And those figures that nationals puts out
tend to fluctuate a great deal over a twelve month period depending on how many
units recharter or don't over the course of a month, if that number is down,
naturally the numbers over all are down for that month.

If the trend I see continues, I am really exicited about growth prospects for
the next few years. The high water mark each year seems to be a little higher
than the year before and although it may be too optimistic, I believe the
possiblity exists for us to top 6 million by 2000 AD (youth + adults), maybe too
optimistic, but a goal definitely worth setting for ourselves.

Any one else have anything to add?

YiS,
Andy McElhannon
Andrew_McElhannon@baylor.edu

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